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Why the Regime Chose Violence Again?

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  Why the Regime Chose Violence Again? The Iranian regime has once again resorted to violence to suppress protests. At first glance, these demonstrations appeared weaker than those of previous years. Yet over time, they gained momentum. In response, the regime shifted from a relatively restrained approach to open brutality. Unlike many people would think, the primary reason behind this shifted-policy is internal rather than external. The protests that erupted in late 2025 coincided with a record collapse of the rial against the US dollar. The shock hit Iranian economy which already facing challenges. The high-inflation rate already weighed down the people. Also decrease of oil and natural gas in global markets badly effected Iran’s economy as these assets are only income of the country. In addition to all of these, 12 Days War with Israel overburdened its economy. However, the fall of the rial was not accidental. It resulted from a timid-attempt to liberalize the economy. This appe...

Soviet Union’s Experience and Protests in Iran

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International community’s attention is focused on Israel’s recognizing of Somaliland, the US’s operation in Venezuela and The Saudi Arabia versus the UAE skirmish in Yemen. In the meanwhile a major development inside Iran is taking place; the first popular protest of 2026. Iranian economy which is already weak under the international sanctions faced a dramatic record low of its currency against the US dollars last in Sunday, January 4th. The protests have erupted across the country following that economic shock. Public protests and demonstrations are not unusual in Iran. People of Iran often revolt and protest the regime because of imposing Islamic rules, bad economic conditions, corruption or political repression. However, this protest wave stands apart and for three reasons. The Bazaar Factor: When Elites Are Affected Aftermath of the record low, protesters took to the streets, burned regime symbols and posters of Qasem Soleimani and chanted slogans such as “death to the dictator.” I...

What the Global Left Should Learn from Maduro’s Fall

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  What the Global Left Should Learn from Maduro’s Fall The president, or better to say the former president, of Venezuela has been detained by   US forces in Caracas. Everyone, including Maduro himself, were expecting for a full-scale military intervention. Maduro regime has even trained the population for a guerrilla war-fare. Trump administration, however, have chosen a spot-on and well calculated limited military operation to solve the “Venezuela issue.” It’s still too early to analyze what the operation has unfolded or what its political consequences will be. Although open-source are reporting so-called “details” of the operation they are more like speculation and misinformation. What we know so far is that Maduro and his wife were detained and, as of the time this piece is being of written, were on their way to the United States. Social media quickly filled with videos claiming “massive explosions” in Caracas, under title of “beginning large-scale military invasion.” How...

Lo que la izquierda global debería aprender de la caída de Maduro

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Lo que la izquierda global debería aprender de la caída de Maduro El presidente  o mejor dicho, el ex presidente  de Venezuela ha sido detenido por fuerzas estadounidenses en Caracas. Todos, incluido el propio Maduro, esperaban una intervención militar a gran escala. El régimen incluso había preparado a parte de la población para una guerra de guerrillas. Sin embargo, la administración Trump optó por una operación militar limitada, precisa y cuidadosamente calculada para resolver lo que desde hace tiempo denominaba el “problema venezolano”. Todavía es demasiado pronto para analizar en detalle cómo se desarrolló la operación o cuáles serán sus consecuencias políticas. Aunque las fuentes abiertas están llenas de supuestos “detalles”, la mayoría de lo que circula es especulación y desinformación. Lo que sí sabemos hasta ahora es relativamente claro: Maduro y su esposa fueron detenidos y, al momento de escribir este texto, se dirigían a Estados Unidos. Las redes sociales se llenar...

Will Yemen the Elephant in the Room Lead New Alliances in the Middle East?

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The Middle East has a Yemen problem and its the elephant in the room. Although, in recent years Yemen associated with Iran backed Houthis and Saudi Arabia (KSA) backed Hadhramaut Tribal Alliance(HTA). But that map just got shredded as the UAE and its proxy, the Southern Transitional Council (STC) has shown as a wildcard. They launched “Operation Promising Future” and pulled off a shock move, recapturing strategic cities like Seiyun and Tarim. But the real escalation happened when they seized the PetroMasila oilfield. This forced a direct face-off between the UAE and its neighbor, Saudi Arabia. Since then, the stakes have skyrocketed: we’ve seen Saudi airstrikes hitting STC forces in the port of Mukalla and Riyadh issuing a blunt ultimatum for the UAE to withdraw its troops from Yemeni soil. This “brother-against-brother” tension between the two Gulf nations is exactly what’s fuelling rumours of a massive new alignment one that supposedly brings Egypt, Turkey, Iran, and Saudi Arabia tog...

What Does Escalation in Aleppo Mean?

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The Escalation in Aleppo and the Ambiguity of the March 10 Accord Yesterday a military clashes broke out in Aleppo, the second largest city and commercial hub of Syria. The official belligerents are the Syrian central government and the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria commonly known as the Rojava administration. The fighting is concentrated in the Sheikh Maqsoud and Ashrafiyeh neighborhoods. These districts are unique because both their military and civil administrations are tied to Rojava and Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). Although they are predominantly Kurdish, they also host significant non-Muslim, Armenian and Assyrian, minority populations. Kurdish military presence in Ashrafiyah and Sheikh Maqsoud is actually far from being a threat to Syrian government. In fact, Kurdish Rojava administration has withdrawn its military forces as a goodwill gesture as per the March 10th Accord signed with Damascus. The both neighbourhoods are being   protected by the popula...

Why Turkey’s "Master Plan" for Syria Didn't Work

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As many of you know, exactly one year ago today, the half-century-old Baathist regime was in the throes of collapse. Coincidentally, on the very day the regime fell, I was a guest on a friend’s channel to discuss Syria. During that broadcast, I predicted that the developments of December 2024 would escalate the conflict rather than bring it to a close. Unfortunately, these predictions came true. In the 2020 Tunisian elections, Ennahda, the party linked to the Muslim Brotherhood in Tunsia, gained a significant votes that its "legendary" leader Rached Ghannouchi took the role of Speaker of Parliament. Reminding, relationship between the Brotherhood and Turkey which is an open secret. Ghannouchi’s first visit, with the airs of a head of state, was to Turkey. This move ultimately precipitated the purge of both Ghannouchi and Ennahda. Turkey’s proxy operation, conducted with such haste and in such a brazenly visible manner, ultimately fell victim to its own impatience. We cite the...